Exxon Mobil (XOM) third-quarter earnings preview


The world's largest oil company, Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM) will get have its chance to impress investors this Thursday morning when it releases its third quarter numbers.

The company will be announcing its most recent quarterly results before the market opens, and will host a conference call to discuss the numbers starting at 10:00 AM EDT. Analysts expect to see Exxon Mobil show earnings of $1.75 per share for the quarter, and a massive $112.97 billion in revenue.

High oil prices could turn out to be both good and bad for Exxon Mobil this time around. With prices trading at record highs we can expect to see revenues balloon this period, but on the other side of the coin, high oil prices do tend to result in lower refining margins, which could hurt the bottom line. Last week, the third-largest oil company in the world, ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) fell victim to shrinking refining margins, and reported a 5 percent drop in quarterly earnings.
Analyst opinion: According to Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) analyst Daniel L. Barcelo, Exxon Mobil will be fine, regardless of the possibility that high oil prices could impact its refining margins. He points to the company's strong diversification as its strength in overcoming the tight margins that have plagued other large oil companies this earnings season.

Barcelo has Exxon Mobil as his top oil play, and gives the company a buy rating. Earlier this month he stated in a research report that Exxon Mobil will overcome margin pressure through its "strong capture of higher global crude prices helped by healthy European petrochemicals margins."

Here is a look at just how strong Exxon Mobil shares have performed over the past 12 months:



What are your thoughts? Will Exxon Mobil surprise Wall Street and put up earnings of more than $1.75 per share this Thursday? My bet is yes, it will. Let us hear your opinions.

Michael Fowlkes has worked as a stock trader for seven years and spent the last two years working as an analyst for the online investment advisory service Investor's Observer. DISCLOSURE: Mr. Fowlkes owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that include holdings in XOM.

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